Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TDK (-6.5) vs Team Nemesis (+6.5) | 0% TDK | 100% Team Nemesis |
| Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5) | 0% TDK | 100% Team Nemesis |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-6.5) vs TDK (+6.5) | 0% Team Nemesis | 100% TDK |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TDK (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5) | 100% TDK | 0% Team Nemesis |
Market context
Team Nemesis and TDK are due to meet in a best-of-three CS2 playoff match, with the market pricing Team Nemesis at 0% despite the fixture being live on the schedule. Recent comparable form points to a much narrower matchup than that implies: Strafe lists Team Nemesis as having won four of its last five, TDK three of five, and notes Team Nemesis took the teams’ most recent meeting 2-1 on 17 June.[1]
That head-to-head matters because the sides have already played each other in a recent tournament setting, so traders have a direct baseline rather than relying only on broader rankings.[1] The same source has TDK slightly higher in its world ranking, which helps explain why some models can still lean the other way despite Nemesis winning the latest series.[1] A previous broadcast of their encounter also highlighted a stylistic split, with one commentary feed noting TDK’s T-side win rate and Team Nemesis’ stronger defence, suggesting map vetoes and side starts could be material in a BO3.[2]
The key catalysts are practical rather than structural: whether the match starts on time, whether the bracket is unchanged, and whether either side fields an altered roster at short notice. The listed start time has already shifted across market pages, with the event shown as originally scheduled for 4:00 AM ET on Kalshi while Strafe lists an 8:00 AM UTC start, so traders should watch for further schedule slippage or official admin updates.[1][3]
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Euro… on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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