Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map Handicap: ODK (-1.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-3.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-6.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-3.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-3.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-6.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+6.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-9.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+9.5) | 1% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-9.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
Market context
ODDIK has already secured a 2-0 victory over Procyon Gaming in their CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage Round 2 match, played on 17 July 2026, rendering the 100% YES crowd-implied probability for an ODDIK win fully realised in real time [1][2][3]. The Brazilian side, ranked 61 globally, dominated on Anubis and Cache after a strong 2-0 win over paiN Academy earlier in the week, while Procyon (ranked 121) showed fragility in extended maps despite a 2-1 advance against Red Feet [4].
Historically, such lopsided pre-match probabilities in online CS2 Swiss rounds have resolved correctly when the higher-ranked team holds a clear round-differential advantage early, as seen in similar regional qualifiers where a 2-0 start correlated with 95%+ settlement accuracy for the favoured side [4]. In this case, ODDIK’s superior map control and consistent individual performance created a form gap that left Procyon unable to recover, mirroring past cases where a 61 vs 121 ranking disparity produced decisive BO3 outcomes without overtime.
Traders should monitor official CCT South America announcements for any post-match corrections or disqualifications, though no such notices have been issued as of 22:00 UTC on 17 July [1]. The settlement window closes on 18 July 2026, and with the match completed and confirmed, no further catalysts—such as roster changes or schedule delays—remain relevant to the outcome [3].
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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