Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Córdoba CF | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (Córdoba CF vs. SD Huesca) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| SD Huesca | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Córdoba CF will host SD Huesca in a La Liga 2 fixture on 31 May 2026, with the match settling at the end of the scheduled broadcast window. Both clubs will be competing in Spain's second tier, where promotion and playoff positioning remain live considerations heading into the final stretch of the season.
The 0% implied probability reflects either extreme confidence in a specific outcome or sparse trading activity on this particular market. Historical precedent suggests that La Liga 2 matches between mid-table or lower-ranked sides often see thin liquidity until closer to kickoff, particularly when neither team is in direct contention for automatic promotion. Comparable fixtures from prior seasons show that probability estimates can shift sharply once team news breaks or injury reports surface in the 48 hours before match day.
Traders should monitor coaching announcements and squad availability in the fortnight before the fixture. Córdoba's recent form and any managerial changes will be critical; Spanish football journalists covering the Segunda División, including those at Estadio Deportivo, typically flag significant tactical shifts or player departures by mid-May. Huesca's away record and any fixture congestion from cup competitions or playoff scheduling will also shape match dynamics. Weather conditions at Córdoba's ground and confirmed team sheets released on match morning represent the final catalysts that typically drive probability recalibration in the hours before settlement.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $194K.
Methodology
We track Córdoba CF vs. SD Huesca on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Córdoba CF vs. SD Huesca on Sport Prediction
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