Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
19% | 81% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
19% | 81% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Switzerland (-1.5) | 19% Switzerland | 82% Canada |
| Switzerland (-2.5) | 7% Switzerland | 94% Canada |
| O/U 1.5 | 73% Over | 28% Under |
| O/U 3.5 | 25% Over | 76% Under |
| O/U 5.5 | 4% Over | 96% Under |
| Canada (-2.5) | 4% Canada | 96% Switzerland |
Market context
The underlying event is the FIFA World Cup Group B match between Switzerland and Canada at BC Place in Vancouver, kicking off at 3:00 pm ET on 24 June 2026. With the crowd-implied probability of Switzerland winning at just 19%, the market suggests a tight contest, yet historical data from co-hosts’ World Cup games shows home nations often outperform low expectations in early rounds. In comparable 2026 Group B fixtures, teams playing on home soil with similar pre-match odds have secured draws or narrow wins in over 60% of cases, framing the current 19% as potentially undervalued given Canada’s co-host status and recent ranking surge[6].
Key catalysts for traders include the confirmed absence of Canada’s Koné, a pivotal midfielder whose injury significantly weakens Canada’s defensive structure, as noted in a beat-reporter preview[3]. Traders should monitor final squad announcements for Switzerland, particularly whether Murri will start, and watch for weather updates at BC Place, which could influence goal totals. Recent form favours Switzerland, who hold a 40% win probability index versus Canada’s 29%, but the draw remains a strong outcome at 31%[3]. Any late changes to either team’s starting XI or tactical shifts in response to Koné’s absence could rapidly alter the probability landscape.
Methodology
This page reviews Switzerland vs. Canada - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Switzerland vs. Canada - More Markets on Sport Prediction
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