Colombia vs. DR Congo - Player Props

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the FIFA World Cup match between Colombia and the Democratic Republic of Congo, scheduled for 23 June at 10:00 PM ET, where Colombia enters as a heavy favourite with a 62.8% win probability[2]. Historical precedents for such lopsided World Cup encounters, particularly involving debutants like DR Congo, show that player-prop markets on goal involvement often settle at near-zero when the underdog lacks a proven attacking core; the crowd-implied 0% YES probability aligns with the most likely correct score of 0–1 to Colombia[2]. In comparable cases, such as Japan’s 2022 opener against Costa Rica, player props for the underdog’s first goal or shots on target failed to materialise, reinforcing the market’s scepticism[2].

Traders should monitor final squad announcements for DR Congo, specifically whether key attackers like Yoane Wissa or Cedric Bakambu are included, as their absence would further depress player-prop viability[2]. Recent beat-reporting from Action Network notes that 91% of bets favour the over 2.5 goals, yet this is driven entirely by Colombia’s offensive output, not DR Congo’s contribution[1]. With Colombia’s Luis Diaz listed at +210 for an anytime goal and the team’s -1.5 spread favoured at +166, any player-prop market centred on DR Congo scoring or registering multiple shots remains highly precarious[3][4]. The settlement window ending 24 June 2026 leaves little time for late tactical shifts to alter this outlook.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.