Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Declan Rice: 1+ goals + assists | 96% YES | 4% NO |
| Declan Rice: 2+ goals + assists | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Declan Rice: 3+ goals + assists | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Declan Rice: 4+ goals + assists | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Elliot Anderson: 1+ goals + assists | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Elliot Anderson: 2+ goals + assists | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
England and Croatia meet in a World Cup fixture on 17 June 2026, with individual player performance markets settling on the day. The 63% implied probability reflects confidence in England's attacking depth and recent tournament form, though Croatia's defensive organisation under current management has limited high-scoring outcomes in comparable knockout-stage encounters. England's squad rotation policy under the current coaching staff has historically produced variable individual point totals; key performers like Harry Kane and Bukayo Saka have shown consistency in group stages but faced tighter marking in later rounds.
Croatia's recent World Cup appearances have been characterised by conservative midfield setups that compress space for opposing forwards. The team's 2022 campaign saw relatively few individual standout performances from attacking players, with matches typically decided by set-piece or midfield control rather than explosive individual displays. Historical precedent suggests player prop markets in England–Croatia fixtures tend to settle conservatively unless one side establishes early dominance.
Traders should monitor team news through early June, particularly injury updates to England's first-choice attacking options and any late tactical shifts from either camp. Recent squad announcements from the Football Association and Croatian Football Federation will clarify available depth. Weather conditions on the day—temperature and pitch state—can materially affect passing accuracy and assist opportunities. Pre-match odds movements in the broader match outcome market often precede shifts in individual player prop pricing, making the final 48 hours before kick-off a critical observation window.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $373K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade England vs. Croatia - Player Props on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Sport Prediction →