LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

Market context

Anyone’s Legend face Karmine Corp in the League of Legends Quarterfinal 2 of the Esports World Cup Playoffs, a Best-of-3 match scheduled for 7:00AM ET on 17 July. The 73% crowd-implied probability for Anyone’s Legend aligns with their dominant recent form: they have won four of their last five matches and sit ranked #1 globally, whereas Karmine Corp has won only two of their last five and ranks #15 [1]. Historical parallels from similar high-stakes BO3s show that when a #1-ranked team faces a #15 opponent with a 2–3 recent win differential, the higher-ranked side typically converts 70–75% of such markets, validating the current pricing as structurally sound rather than inflated.

Traders should monitor pre-match roster announcements and any delay notices, as the settlement window closes at 19:30 UTC on 17 July; a cancellation or unresolved delay beyond seven days triggers a 50–50 resolution [1]. Anyone’s Legend’s 68% win rate over the past six months and their two head-to-head series wins against Top Esports in 2026 suggest sustained competitiveness against elite opposition, though their recent month has been balanced [3]. No coaching changes or key absences have been reported for either side, but any late roster swap announced before the match would materially shift the probability, given the BO3 format’s sensitivity to individual player performance.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.