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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Sports snapshot for "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" with league data and platform comparison on a single page.

Game 1 Winner 100% Any Player Ultra Kill 100% Ends in Daytime 90% Match Winner 71% Volume: $2.4M Liquidity: $439K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Any Player Ultra Kill100%
Ends in Daytime90%
Match Winner71%
O/U 2.5 Games63%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50%
Game 2 Winner30%
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)28%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
First Blood in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?10%
Both Teams Beat Roshan1%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?1%
Any Player Rampage0%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?0%
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)0%

Market context

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Dota 2 Quarterfinal 3 match between Team Yandex and Team Spirit in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 17 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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