Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% Odd | 50% Even |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 100% Galions | 0% Misa Esports |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% Galions | 0% Misa Esports |
Market context
Galions and Misa Esports will contest the fourth quarterfinal slot in the EMEA Masters playoffs on 13 June, with the winner advancing to the semi-finals. The best-of-five format rewards consistency across multiple games, making team depth and mid-series adaptation critical factors. Both organisations field rosters capable of executing standard League of Legends macro play, though recent domestic performance and roster stability will likely determine which side enters the match with momentum.
The 50-50 implied probability reflects genuine uncertainty about relative strength between two mid-tier regional competitors. EMEA Masters quarterfinals historically produce close contests when neither team has demonstrated clear dominance during the regular season; teams finishing third or fourth in their respective divisions often arrive with similar win rates and similar champion pool flexibility. Previous iterations of this tournament show that coaching adjustments between games three and four frequently shift series outcomes, particularly when teams lack established playbook depth or have rotated support staff mid-season.
Traders should monitor roster announcements through early June, as any last-minute substitutions—particularly at mid lane or support—could materially shift preparation time and team synergy. Schedule confirmation remains essential given the 7-day delay clause; any postponement beyond 19 June triggers a 50-50 resolution. Watch for official EMEA Masters communications regarding match timing, as the 11:00 AM ET slot may shift depending on broadcast scheduling across European time zones. Recent patch notes released before the match date will also influence champion availability and could favour whichever team has stronger scrim results on the current build.
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Pl… on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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