Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara | 100% |
| Draw | 0% |
| FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 0% |
Market context
The Romania SuperLiga opener on Monday, 20 July 2026, saw FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara defeat FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 3–0 at Stadionul Francisc von Neuman, confirming the 100% YES settlement for the match outcome market [7][11]. This result aligns with pre-match modelling that identified Corvinul as the clear favourite, with statistical analysis assigning a 59.61% probability to a home win and a power rank of 106.9 compared to Csíkszereda’s 88.8 [1][7].
Historically, Corvinul dominates this fixture, having won four of the last six head-to-head meetings while scoring 14 goals against Csíkszereda’s six [12]. The 3–0 scoreline mirrors their typical superiority in recent seasons, where Corvinul averages 1.5 goals per match at home versus Csíkszereda’s 1.1 [12]. Such consistent dominance frames the 100% probability as a reflection of entrenched form rather than a narrow margin, with no draw or away win recorded in their last three encounters.
Traders should monitor official Liga I match reports and post-game squad announcements for confirmation of the final result and any potential disciplinary actions affecting future fixtures [2]. With the game now concluded and the score verified across multiple live-score platforms, the settlement is deterministic, leaving no dependency on pending announcements or schedule changes [3][10]. The absence of key players or coaching changes prior to kickoff did not alter the outcome, as Corvinul’s attacking efficiency remained unimpeded throughout the match [7].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $110K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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