Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm | 100% |
| O/U 174.5 | 100% |
| Kayla McBride: Points O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| Olivia Miles: Points O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Courtney Williams: Points O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Natasha Howard: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Olivia Miles: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Olivia Miles: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| O/U 175.5 | 100% |
| Kayla McBride: Points O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| O/U 173.5 | 100% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Natasha Howard: Points O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Nia Coffey: Points O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Dominique Malonga: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Courtney Williams: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Nia Coffey: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Kayla McBride: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Courtney Williams: Assists O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Kayla McBride: Assists O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Dominique Malonga: Assists O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Nia Coffey: Points O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Natasha Howard: Points O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Kayla McBride: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 20 at 10:00PM ET: If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Lynx". If the Seattle Storm win, the market will resolve to "Seattle St…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $733K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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