HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Emma Raducanu faces Iva Jovic in the HSBC Championships scheduled for 13 June 2026 at 12:20 PM ET. The match forms part of the women's draw at this WTA 1000 event, held annually in North Carolina. Raducanu, the 2021 US Open champion, has experienced a fragmented career trajectory marked by injury setbacks and ranking fluctuations since her breakthrough. Jovic, a rising talent on the professional circuit, represents the emerging generation competing for seeding positions at tier-one tournaments.

The 100% implied probability reflects either a data anomaly within the market or an assumption that the match will proceed as scheduled without complications. Historical precedent suggests caution: WTA matches at this venue have occasionally been postponed due to weather or player withdrawal, and Raducanu's injury history warrants monitoring. The settlement window extends to 20 June, allowing a seven-day buffer for rescheduling before the market defaults to 50-50 resolution.

Traders should track official HSBC Championships draw confirmations and any player fitness updates in the fortnight preceding the event. Raducanu's recent tournament participation and Jovic's seeding announcement will clarify competitive readiness. Weather forecasts for the North Carolina venue in mid-June may influence scheduling decisions. Any coaching staff changes or late withdrawals from either player would trigger material shifts in match likelihood, though the current probability leaves minimal room for adjustment unless the match fails to occur entirely.

Methodology

We track HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.