Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| First Blood in Game 4? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 4? | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 4? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 4? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
Anyone's Legend face EDward Gaming in an LPL upper bracket quarterfinal best-of-five on 30 May, with the winner advancing directly to the semi-finals. The match carries significant weight in the spring playoffs structure, as the loser drops to the lower bracket and faces immediate elimination risk. Both organisations have fielded competitive rosters this season, though roster stability and recent form diverge meaningfully between them.
Historical precedent suggests that LPL quarterfinals at 50-50 odds typically reflect genuine uncertainty rather than balanced strength. When teams meet at this stage with equivalent seeding, the outcome often hinges on meta adaptation and player confidence in the preceding week. EDward Gaming's performance in the final regular season weeks and Anyone's Legend's trajectory through playoffs will determine whether either enters with momentum. Coaching adjustments made in the fortnight before playoffs have historically shifted such matchups by 10–15 percentage points in either direction, particularly if a team has rotated its draft approach or substituted key players.
Traders should monitor official LPL announcements regarding roster confirmations, any last-minute coaching staff changes, and scrim results leaked by beat reporters covering the league. The settlement window closes at 12:00 UTC on 30 May, leaving minimal buffer for delays. Fixture cancellations remain unlikely given LPL infrastructure, but schedule compression in playoffs occasionally forces rescheduling beyond the seven-day threshold, which would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Watch for injury updates or visa complications affecting either team's starting lineup in the days immediately preceding the match.
Methodology
We track LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Pl… on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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