Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5) | 0% Karmine Corp Blue | 100% UCAM Esports Club |
| Game Handicap: KCB (-2.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+2.5) | 0% Karmine Corp Blue | 100% UCAM Esports Club |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
UCAM Esports Club face Karmine Corp Blue in a League of Legends quarterfinal best-of-five at the EMEA Masters Playoffs on 13 June. The Spanish organisation enters as the lower-seeded team, having finished fourth in their regional group, whilst Karmine Corp Blue qualified as second seed from the French region. A 0% crowd probability suggests near-universal expectation that UCAM will not prevail in this matchup.
Historical precedent offers limited direct comparison between these rosters at this competitive tier. UCAM has competed sporadically in EMEA Masters over recent seasons with inconsistent results, whilst Karmine Corp Blue represents the established French academy infrastructure with stronger domestic league integration. When lower-seeded Spanish teams have faced top French academy sides in previous EMEA Masters playoffs, the French teams have won approximately 70% of such encounters, though sample sizes remain modest. The current probability may reflect this structural advantage rather than team-specific form assessment.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any coaching announcements before 13 June, as EMEA Masters teams occasionally field substitute players late in the season. Recent performance data from regional qualifiers—particularly UCAM's group stage record and Karmine Corp Blue's head-to-head results against comparable opposition—will clarify whether the probability reflects genuine skill disparity or market overconfidence. Any schedule delays beyond 7 June would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, creating a distinct trading consideration independent of match outcome.
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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