Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 22.5 | 96% |
| O/U 24.5 | 92% |
| O/U 26.5 | 90% |
| Seahawks O/U 10.5 | 88% |
| O/U 28.5 | 87% |
| Broncos O/U 10.5 | 84% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 82% |
| Seahawks O/U 13.5 | 82% |
| Broncos O/U 12.5 | 81% |
| O/U 30.5 | 80% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 80% |
| O/U 32.5 | 76% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 76% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 76% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 6.5 | 76% |
| Broncos O/U 13.5 | 75% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 72% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 72% |
| Seahawks O/U 16.5 | 72% |
| O/U 34.5 | 70% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 6.5 | 70% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 67% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 65% |
| O/U 36.5 | 64% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 64% |
| Broncos O/U 16.5 | 64% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 62% |
| Seahawks O/U 19.5 | 61% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 60% |
| Seahawks vs. Broncos | 57% |
| O/U 38.5 | 57% |
| Spread -0.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| Seahawks O/U 12.5 | 56% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 10.5 | 55% |
| 1H Moneyline | 55% |
| Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 54% |
| Seahawks O/U 20.5 | 54% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 6.5 | 54% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 54% |
| Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Broncos O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Broncos by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Broncos by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Broncos by 21+ | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| Broncos O/U 26.5 | 48% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 17.5 | 48% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Broncos Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 45% |
| Broncos O/U 20.5 | 45% |
| O/U 42.5 | 44% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 12.5 | 44% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 43% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 43% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 10.5 | 43% |
| Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 40% |
| Seahawks O/U 23.5 | 40% |
| Seahawks Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 40% |
| Broncos Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 40% |
| Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| O/U 44.5 | 38% |
| Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 38% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 38% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 17.5 | 38% |
| Spread -5.5 | 37% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 37% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 37% |
| Seahawks Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 37% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| Spread -6.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 34% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 13.5 | 34% |
| O/U 46.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 33% |
| Broncos O/U 23.5 | 33% |
| Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| Broncos Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 31% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 30% |
| O/U 48.5 | 28% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 28% |
| Seahawks O/U 26.5 | 28% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Spread -9.5 | 27% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 27% |
| Spread -5.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 25% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| Seahawks O/U 34.5 | 24% |
| Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 23% |
| Seahawks O/U 27.5 | 23% |
| O/U 50.5 | 22% |
| Spread -10.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 22% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 16.5 | 22% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 21% |
| Seahawks vs. Broncos: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 20% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 19% |
| O/U 52.5 | 18% |
| Spread -13.5 | 18% |
| Spread -8.5 | 18% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 18% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 16.5 | 18% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| Broncos O/U 27.5 | 17% |
| Broncos O/U 34.5 | 17% |
| Spread -14.5 | 16% |
| Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 1-6 | 16% |
| O/U 54.5 | 15% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 15% |
| Seahawks O/U 30.5 | 15% |
| Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| Exact Margin: Broncos by 1-6 | 14% |
| Spread -16.5 | 13% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 13% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| Broncos O/U 30.5 | 12% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 19.5 | 12% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 11% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 11% |
| O/U 56.5 | 10% |
| Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| Spread -17.5 | 9% |
| Spread -19.5 | 9% |
| Spread -14.5 | 9% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| O/U 58.5 | 8% |
| O/U 60.5 | 8% |
| O/U 62.5 | 8% |
| Spread -16.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 20.5 | 8% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 20.5 | 7% |
| Safety? | 7% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 6% |
| O/U 64.5 | 6% |
| Spread -21.5 | 5% |
| Spread -17.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 5% |
| Spread -19.5 | 4% |
| Spread -20.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 4% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 4% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 4% |
| Spread -21.5 | 3% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
Market context
Seahawks vs. Broncos. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 57% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-16T00:15:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $589K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Seahawks vs. Broncos. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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