Colombia vs. DR Congo - Total Corners

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Market context

The underlying event is the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group K match between Colombia and DR Congo, played on 23 June at Guadalajara Stadium, where Colombia secured a 1–0 victory to advance to the knockout stage[2][3]. This result rendered the “total corners” market for this fixture irrelevant, as the game has already concluded and the settlement condition cannot be met, aligning with the current 0% YES probability[1].

Historically, total corners markets in World Cup group matches where one side dominates possession and shot volume often settle low; in this case, Colombia held 73% possession and recorded 9 attempts versus DR Congo’s 1, with only 2 corners awarded to Colombia and none to DR Congo by the 26th minute[1]. Comparable cases from previous World Cups show that when a team like Colombia controls the game so thoroughly, corner counts rarely exceed 4–5, and in matches ending 1–0 with minimal attacking pressure from the underdog, totals often fall below 3, making any “over” bet highly improbable[4][5].

Traders should note that no further announcements or schedule dependencies exist, as the match has ended and the settlement window closes on 24 June 2026 at 02:00 UTC[2]. The only relevant catalyst was the final scoreline itself, which confirmed Colombia’s dominance and DR Congo’s inability to generate attacking threats, a fact underscored by beat-reporter coverage noting Bakambu and Hernandez’s Real Betis connection but minimal on-pitch impact from DR Congo[7][8]. With the game concluded and no corners likely to be added post-match, the market stands settled at zero.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?

Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.