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UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)

How the sports market is pricing "UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 91% O/U 1.5 Rounds 73% O/U 2.5 Rounds 61% Ends before Round 5? 55% Volume: $1.1M Liquidity: $691K Closes: 20 Sept 2026
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UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds91%
O/U 1.5 Rounds73%
O/U 2.5 Rounds61%
Ends before Round 5?55%
O/U 3.5 Rounds52%
Ends before Round 4?46%
O/U 4.5 Rounds44%
Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van42%
Fight won by KO/TKO?40%
Fight to Go the Distance?37%
Ends before Round 3?37%
Fight won by decision?36%
Decision or Draw36%
Van to win by KO/TKO?33%
Fight won by submission?28%
Ends before Round 2?19%
Pantoja in Round 111%
Van in Round 210%
Pantoja in Round 29%
Van in Round 19%
Pantoja to win by KO/TKO?8%
Van in Round 58%
Van in Round 47%
Van in Round 36%
Pantoja in Round 34%
Pantoja in Round 44%
Pantoja in Round 53%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 91% probability to ufc 331: alexandre pantoja vs. joshua van (flyweight, main card). This market will resolve to "Alexandre Pantoja" if Alexandre Pantoja is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joshua Van at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2, scheduled for September 19, 2026. …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 91% for "UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 91% Other 9%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.1M.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Related Topics

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