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LoL: GAM Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

"LoL: GAM Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

First Blood in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? 100% Volume: $2.0M Liquidity: $358K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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LoL: GAM Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?99%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5)88%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?51%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Game 2 Winner8%
O/U 2.5 Games6%
Match Winner1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)0%
First Blood in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

T1 faces GAM Esports in the League of Legends Lower Bracket final at the Esports World Cup, a match already concluded with T1 securing a 1–0 victory in 33 minutes. The crowd-implied probability of 0% for GAM winning reflects this settled outcome, where T1’s superior international pedigree and roster depth proved decisive against GAM’s regional form.

Historically, lower-bracket finals between S-tier international teams and regional dominators rarely favour the latter unless early aggression disrupts tempo; T1’s 5–1 edge at EWC and 24–9 global record align with this pattern. In comparable cases, teams with ace-tier gaps in individual skill, such as T1’s Peyz versus GAM’s Artemis, consistently overcome early chaos, making a GAM win statistically anomalous.

Traders should monitor official settlement confirmations from Riot Games or the Esports World Cup organisers to rule out forfeiture or disqualification scenarios that could trigger the 50–50 clause. No further match play is expected, but any announcement regarding roster changes, coaching shifts, or administrative delays before the 7-day window closes would be the only catalyst altering resolution. Recent beat reporting from MEXC and Stadio.gg confirms T1’s dominance and the match’s finality, leaving no active catalysts for a GAM reversal.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: GAM Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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