🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogLive odds →

UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)

How the sports market is pricing "UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 93% O/U 1.5 Rounds 87% O/U 2.5 Rounds 81% O/U 3.5 Rounds 74% Volume: $184K Liquidity: $460K Closes: 25 Oct 2026
Open live market →
UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
93% 7% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
93% 7% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds93%
O/U 1.5 Rounds87%
O/U 2.5 Rounds81%
O/U 3.5 Rounds74%
O/U 4.5 Rounds71%
Decision or Draw69%
Fight to Go the Distance?68%
Fight won by decision?67%
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev51%
Ends before Round 5?29%
Fight won by KO/TKO?24%
Ends before Round 4?23%
Ends before Round 3?18%
Volkanovski to win by KO/TKO?15%
Evloev to win by KO/TKO?12%
Fight won by submission?12%
Ends before Round 2?9%
Volkanovski in Round 17%
Volkanovski in Round 26%
Volkanovski in Round 36%
Volkanovski in Round 46%
Evloev in Round 16%
Evloev in Round 26%
Evloev in Round 36%
Evloev in Round 46%
Volkanovski in Round 55%
Evloev in Round 55%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 93% YES probability for UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card). This market will resolve to "Alexander Volkanovski" if Alexander Volkanovski is officially declared the winner of the fight against Movsar Evloev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for Octo…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 93% for "UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 93% Other 7%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $184K.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

Trade UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Fe… on Sport Prediction

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Sports UFC Prediction Markets